When people learn that I’m a futurist, they often assume my work involves precisely predicting what comes next, from election results and new technologies to market crashes and natural disasters. To ...

Three books unpack our infatuation with prediction, and what we lose when we outsource this task to machines. To be human is, fundamentally, to be a forecaster. Occasionally a pretty good one. Trying ...

Prediction markets have moved from a niche academic concept into one of the fastest-growing areas of modern market infrastructure. Once confined to election forecasting and small experimental ...

Forbes contributors publish independent expert analyses and insights. author of Chained to the Desk in a Hybrid World: A Guide to Balance. Sometimes our negativity bias turns our future predictions ...

Prediction market platform Kalshi is surging so much in Trump's second term, that it's prompted something of an arms race: Robinhood, Coinbase, FanDuel and DraftKings have all announced rival services ...

As the cryptocurrency market continues its unprecedented evolution, predicting the future of digital assets like XRP and Bitcoin becomes a topic of intense interest among investors, analysts, and ...