As fears grow over a wobbly economy, talk of the yield curve—especially when it becomes inverted—grows, because it has often been seen as a chief predictor of a recession. Key terms: Interest ...

The longest inverted yield curve on record may finally be in the rearview mirror. The yield on the 2-year note closed at 3.651%, according to Tradeweb, lower than the 10-year yield, which settled ...

But the yield curve is still super-inverted at the short end; for example, the 10-year yield of 3.71% was still 141 basis points lower than the 3-month yield of 5.13% on Friday.

One common measure of the yield curve has hovered this year at levels last reached 40 years ago, with the yield on two-year debt roughly 0.9 percentage points higher than the yield on 10-year notes.

As of Monday, the 10-year Treasury yield stood at 3.72%, with the two-year at 3.65%. That’s a spread of 7 basis points (bps). The question now is what this shift means for the economy, markets ...

Of all the economic rules of thumb the COVID-19 pandemic seemingly ripped up, few have caused as much soul-searching as the inverted U.S. yield curve - though it may just be interpreted incorrectly.

The inverted yield curve is screaming RECESSION : The Indicator from Planet Money There is one indicator that has predicted every recession since 1969, and that indicator is flashing red right now.

When the 2-year Treasury yield eclipsed the 10-year Treasury yield on July 5, 2022, it caught many investors' attention. The event – commonly dubbed a yield curve inversion – was largely ...

The yield curve righted itself Wednesday after more than two years of a negative spread between the 10- and 2-year Treasury yields. However, the measure inverted again on Thursday.

For much of the last two years, the 2-year US Treasury yield has traded above the 10-year yield. When that happens, it historically has meant a recession is looming. So you’d think that ...