There is currently a 0.28% chance that 2024 YR4 will strike Earth on December 22, 2032 – a drop from 1.5% yesterday – according to the space agency. Meanwhile, the chances the asteroid will hit the Moon increased from 0.8% to 1%. NASA estimates that the asteroid is about 130-300 feet (40-90 metres) wide.

NASA has been changing the odds of asteroid 2024 YR4 hitting Earth in recent days, but the latest shift significantly downgrades the asteroid's threat level and makes a moon strike more likely.