Key Background. In 1986, Harvey published a dissertation that linked inverted yield curves to recessions after closely studying four major economic downturns from the 1960s to the 1980s.

The yield curve is frequently spoken about when investors are discussing bonds and wider economics, but what precisely is it?

A yield curve inversion is among the most consistent recession indicators, but other metrics can support it or give a better sense of how intense, long, or far-reaching a recession will be.

With all the talk and rage about the yield curve and what it may signal, its important to take a step back to analyze what a yield curve is, what it’s meant to share with investors, and how it ...

The a key portion of the U.S. yield curve just inverted for the first time in several years. That's not good news for the U.S. economy, raising the chances of a 2023 recession.

The bond market is trying to tell us something: The yield curve keeps inverting, flashing a warning sign that a recession could be coming. The 10-year US Treasury yield briefly fell below the 2 ...

The 10-year yield fell to 2.383% on Tuesday afternoon, while the 2-year yield rose to 2.387%, before the yield curve reverted once again – barely. A year ago, the 10-year Treasury yield was 1.50 ...

The longest inverted yield curve on record may finally be in the rearview mirror. The yield on the 2-year note closed at 3.651%, according to Tradeweb, lower than the 10-year yield, which settled ...

A so-called inverted yield curve between three-month and 10-year interest rates is considered by Wall Street as a reliable sign of an impending economic slump.

The 10-year Treasury yield spiked above 2.9%, sending the stock market into turmoil. Investors feared a move above 3% would spark more turmoil. Now, the shrinking 10-year yield is spooking Wall ...

The so-called yield curve inversion sent ripples through financial markets, spurring a near 3% drop in the S&P 500 while safe-haven currencies surged. “#TrumpRecession” was trending on Twitter.

The yield curve righted itself Wednesday after more than two years of a negative spread between the 10- and 2-year Treasury yields. However, the measure inverted again on Thursday.