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The yield curve identifies changes in the economy without the need to make additional calculations. When people refer to the yield curve, they mean the graph mapping the yields of U.S. Treasury ...
The longest inverted yield curve on record may finally be in the rearview mirror. The yield on the 2-year note closed at 3.651%, according to Tradeweb, lower than the 10-year yield, which settled ...
A sharp jump in short-term Treasury notes means the two-year yield is near to crossing below the 10-year yield, for the first time since July 2022. In recent trading, the yield on the two-year ...
The yield curve—which measures the yield to maturity of bonds across various maturities—sloped down at the end of July, as shown in Exhibit 1, meaning bonds with shorter maturities had a ...
And why we're seeing the yield curve potentially un-invert now, or in the coming weeks, it is not un-inverted yet, would be the move in the long range. We've seen a big move in the 10-year yield ...
The yield curve isn't just a theoretical concept; it has real-world implications for investors and businesses. For investors, the shape of the yield curve can guide asset allocation decisions.
Hatzius looks at the inverted yield curve and converts it to a ‘probability of recession’ statistic, following in the footsteps of “A Current Issues” publication from the Federal Reserve ...
One common measure of the yield curve has hovered this year at levels last reached 40 years ago, with the yield on two-year debt roughly 0.9 percentage points higher than the yield on 10-year notes.
Given that there is exceptionally high uncertainty around the domestic inflation outlook, allowing for greater flexibility in long-term Japanese Government Bond (JGB) yields by the Bank of Japan (BoJ) ...
After 14 yield curve inversions since 1989, the S&P 500 Index has averaged a middling 1.4% return over the next year, with 57% of the returns positive.